The Dynamic Terrorist Threat: An Assessment of Group Motivations and Capabilities in a Changing WorldRand Corporation, 23 באפר׳ 2004 - 126 עמודים As the war on terrorism wages on, our nation's policymakers will continue to face the challenge of assessing threats that various terrorist groups pose to the U.S. homeland and our interests abroad. As part of the RAND Corporation's yearlong "Thinking Strategically About Combating Terrorism" project, the authors of this report develop a way to assess and analyze the danger posed by various terrorist organizations around the world. The very nature of terrorism creates a difficulty in predicting new and emerging threats; however, by establishing these types of parameters, the report creates a fresh foundation of threat analysis on which future counterterrorism strategy may build. |
תוכן
Chapter One Introduction | 1 |
Chapter Two Assessing Terrorist Threats | 7 |
Chapter Three Terrorist Groups Capabilities | 25 |
Chapter Four Terrorist Groups as Dynamic Entities | 61 |
Chapter Five Conclusion | 85 |
Appendix Trends in Terrorist Attacks | 89 |
Bibliography | 93 |
מהדורות אחרות - הצג הכל
מונחים וביטויים נפוצים
ability Abu Sayyaf Group accessed August 2003 accessed September 2003 Afghanistan al Qaeda Al-Qaeda al-Zawahiri analysis anti-U.S. sentiment attack U.S. Bank and Gaza bombing Brian Michael Jenkins campaign capability thresholds Chapter CNN.com Colombia command and control conduct control network counterterrorism counterterrorism activities counterterrorism policy demonstrated Egyptian Islamic Jihad EIJ’s example FARC FARC’s four terrorist groups framework Gaza Strip group cohesion GSPC guarded targets guerrilla Guzmán Hamas Hizballah ideology insurgency International Israel Israeli killed leaders leadership LTTE MILF military Mishal operational security operational space organization’s organizational Osama bin Laden Palestinian Peru’s Philippines PIRA policymakers potential Qaeda RAND Corporation Real IRA recruitment pools requirements Revolutionary RIRA Shining Path Similarly SL’s strategy sustain tactics terrorist attacks terrorist groups terrorist organizations terrorist threats Threats Posed U.S. citizens U.S. counterterrorism U.S. Department U.S. embassy U.S. government U.S. targets United University Press urban weapons West Bank